1.26.2010

ANOTHER ONE (OR FOUR) BITES THE DUST


An Ear-Splitting Alarm

January 23, 2010
Massachusetts Republican Scott Brown's victory in Tuesday's special election for the Senate should serve as an air-raid siren for the Democratic Party. Warnings began sounding last summer, and by now it seems impossible for Democrats to deny that something has gone terribly wrong for their party. In the year since President Obama's inauguration, their celebration has turned into a nightmare.
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2010: A Nationalized Election
January 25, 2010
If there was any doubt before the Democrats’ loss of the Senate seat in Massachusetts last week, it’s gone now. This is a nationalized election. Look no further than the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, conducted January 10-14 among 1,002 registered voters by veteran pollsters Democrat Peter Hart and Republican Bill McInturff. On the generic Congressional ballot test, which measures the potential popular vote for the House, the two parties run even, 41-41. This should be troubling for Democrats because this poll question historically skews about three points in favor of Democrats.
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Delaware Senate: Race Moves to Solid Republican; GOP is Poised to Gain Two to Four Seats in November
January 25, 2010
Senior Editor Jennifer Duffy writes: Democratic Attorney General Beau Biden announced today that he will not be a candidate in November’s special election to fulfill the remainder of his father’s Senate term. Not only does Biden’s decision make Democrats’ efforts to hold the seat exponentially more difficult, leading us to move it to the Solid Republican column, but it impacts the overall Senate math. We have been projecting the range of net gains for Republicans in November at no net change to a pick-up of three seats. With Biden’s decision, we are now projecting a net gain for Republicans of two to four seats in the Senate.
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Berry’s Retirement Moves AR-01 to Lean Republican Column
January 25, 2010
House Editor David Wasserman writes: For Democrats, the most troubling aspect of Rep. Marion Berry’s decision to forgo reelection in 2010 is that it may not be the only such development this week. The number of problematic Democratic open seats just hit double digits, although at this rate Democrats would be thankful if this figure stayed under 15 or so. If this number were to exceed 15, Republicans would be able to make a much stronger play for the majority this fall.
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Connecticut Senate: Advantage, Blumenthal
January 22, 2010
It’s hard to argue that Sen. Chris Dodd’s decision to retire at the end of this Congress rather than face what would have been a brutal re-election contest was good news for Democrats. It was becoming increasingly difficult to find a path to victory for Dodd and without him in the race, Democrats have gotten a much stronger nominee in Attorney General Richard Blumenthal. Recent polling puts well ahead of the two GOP frontrunners, and thus we are changing the rating from Toss Up to Lean Democrat.
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1 comment:

Woodsterman (Odie) said...

Gee, that's too bad ... I won't miss them.